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Societe Generale: The S&P 500 index is expected to fluctuate between 6,500 and 7,500 points next year. Strategists at Societe Generale said that the re-inflation policy proposed by President-elect Trump when he takes office next year may push the S&P 500 index to 6,500 points in April and 7,500 points in 2025, and bond yields are expected to fluctuate greatly.Liu Yu, chief economist of Huaxi Securities, said that the bond bull market is expected to continue in the coming year. Although there is a phenomenon of "rushing to run" near the end of the year, it is still necessary to actively allocate cost-effective bond assets.New york gold futures rose more than 0.8% and once hit the $2,700 mark. Gold, silver and copper mining stocks generally rose. At the end of Monday (December 9) in new york, spot gold rose by 1.04% to $2,660.52 per ounce, and intraday trading ranged from $2,627.61 to $2,676.43. Spot silver rose 2.81% to $31.8390 per ounce, and was traded in the range of $ 30.8658-31.0727. COMEX gold futures rose 0.86% to $2,682.40 per ounce, and also rose to $2,700.00 at 23:16 Beijing time. COMEX silver futures rose 2.77% to $32.445 an ounce. COMEX copper futures rose 1.40% to $4.2590/lb.

The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 85.8%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 14.2%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 85.8%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.5%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 67.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22%.Israel attacked Hezbollah in Syria, calling it a serious violation of Syria's sovereignty. Hezbollah in Lebanon issued a statement on the night of the 9th local time, condemning Israel's attack on Syria. The statement said that Israel's further occupation of the Golan Heights and its attack on Syria's national defense capability are serious violations of Syria's sovereignty and will further undermine Syria's stability. The statement accused Israel of fabricating false reasons for its attack, and called on the international community, especially the Arab world, to take a unified stand and exert pressure in various fields to stop Israel's aggression.MSTR, a micro-strategy of "big bitcoin positions", closed down 7.51% at $365.34, while US stocks temporarily rose 1.52% after hours. The company bought an additional $2.1 billion worth of bitcoin, which is the fifth consecutive Monday that the company announced its increase in bitcoin.

The property market in several hot cities is improving. Recently, several hot areas have released "battle reports" on the sales of new houses and second-hand houses, and the key data of some cities represented by Nanjing and Shenzhen are improving. From the perspective of housing enterprises, recently listed housing enterprises have gathered together to disclose their sales performance in November, which has led to certain differentiation. According to industry insiders, looking forward to the future, with the continuous efforts of favorable policies, the real estate market is expected to be stable and positive. (CSI)Bitcoin rebounded more than $2,000 in the short term and returned to above $96,000.In less than 24 hours, more than 200 earthquakes occurred in El Salvador. On the morning of December 9, local time, the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources of El Salvador reported that there were 224 earthquakes in the country in the past less than 24 hours. The report shows that the eastern part of El Salvador is the region with the most frequent earthquakes. Frequent earthquakes in this area have caused houses to collapse, landslides and falling rocks. On the evening of the 8th local time, the magnitude of the earthquake near Conchado reached 5.6, followed by several earthquakes of magnitude 2.5-5. In addition, the geological faults in Raonyon province have been active recently, and earthquakes of magnitude 5.8 or above may occur.